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July 2019

In this week’s comment we take a look at local pricing and the current environment in Europe. Will the weather help or hinder the crop? The futures market has largely been bereft of data to drive it during the past week and has largely traded in...

Lamb supply continues to contract and with it, prices are on the rise, mostly.  There were a couple of negative spots, especially in the restocker department, but we did see an indicator break through the extraordinary 1000¢ level. New South Wales was where the action was...

In the past week A$18 has been lost from the December CBOT wheat futures, back to mid-May levels.Figure 1 outlines the movements of the wheat market since the start of the season. The reasons for the recent falls are as follows:Harvest has commenced in...

In this analysis we look at the overall Chicago wheat each year since 1973 to examine the skewness of the market. This provides an indication of how far the market trades from the normal distribution and provide some insight into where prices have historically been.In...

Remember last year when lamb prices moved through 800¢ and we thought it couldn’t go much further?  We have had a case of Déjà vu this year, although prices were 100¢ higher, and this week have continued to rally. Lamb prices didn’t just creep higher either,...

The Eastern Young Cattle Indicator (EYCI) is finally having a go at its winter rally. Seasonal conditions are on the improve in the south and it appears restockers might have decided it is time to take on some risk.The rain was concentrated in southern areas...